Wolves vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
8.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1959 |
PNE
4 - 3
WOL
38%
23%
40%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1959 |
WOL
3 - 2
MUD
67%
17%
17%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1959 |
TOT
5 - 1
WOL
43%
22%
35%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1959 |
WOL
2 - 0
VOW
79%
13%
9%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1959 |
LUT
1 - 5
WOL
24%
23%
53%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1959 |
NEW
0 - 2
BOL
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1959 |
FUL
4 - 3
NEW
56%
20%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1959 |
NEW
2 - 1
NTT
59%
21%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1959 |
NEW
0 - 0
WHU
53%
21%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1959 |
LEE
2 - 3
NEW
45%
23%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |