Wolves vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
12%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1949 |
MID
4 - 4
WOL
41%
23%
36%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1949 |
WOL
1 - 0
WBA
82%
11%
7%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1949 |
WOL
1 - 3
ARS
64%
19%
17%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1949 |
DER
3 - 2
WOL
50%
22%
28%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1949 |
WOL
2 - 1
BPO
70%
16%
14%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1949 |
NEW
2 - 1
SUN
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1949 |
MAC
1 - 0
NEW
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1949 |
NEW
2 - 0
CHA
49%
23%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1949 |
STO
1 - 1
NEW
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1949 |
NEW
1 - 1
BUR
57%
21%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |