Wolves vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.4%
11.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1961 |
BOL
1 - 0
WOL
33%
23%
45%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1961 |
WOL
0 - 3
EVE
75%
14%
11%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1961 |
BIR
3 - 6
WOL
33%
23%
45%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1961 |
ASV
1 - 0
WOL
36%
23%
41%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1961 |
MUD
0 - 2
WOL
51%
21%
28%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1961 |
MAC
3 - 0
NTT
60%
20%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1961 |
TOT
2 - 0
MAC
79%
12%
9%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1961 |
MAC
1 - 2
CAR
66%
18%
16%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1961 |
WBA
2 - 2
MAC
54%
21%
25%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1961 |
MUD
3 - 2
MAC
68%
16%
16%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |