Wolves vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
3.5
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
10.6%
7.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1961 |
GLA
2 - 0
WOL
36%
22%
43%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1961 |
NTT
1 - 1
WOL
23%
22%
55%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1961 |
WOL
5 - 1
BIR
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1961 |
SHW
0 - 0
WOL
41%
22%
37%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1961 |
WOL
2 - 1
NEW
83%
10%
7%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1961 |
MAC
2 - 3
PNE
54%
21%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1961 |
MAC
0 - 0
BOL
56%
22%
23%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1961 |
BIR
3 - 2
MAC
56%
20%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1961 |
BBU
4 - 1
MAC
53%
20%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1961 |
MAC
2 - 1
EVE
51%
21%
28%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |