Wolves vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
NTT
3 - 2
WOL
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1979 |
ARS
2 - 3
WOL
61%
22%
16%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
WOL
3 - 1
MUD
37%
26%
37%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
EVE
2 - 3
WOL
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
WOL
1 - 1
CRY
66%
21%
13%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
DER
4 - 0
BOL
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1979 |
SOU
4 - 0
DER
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
DER
1 - 0
MID
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
MUD
1 - 0
DER
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
DER
3 - 2
ARS
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |