Wolves vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1970 |
NEW
3 - 2
WOL
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1970 |
WOL
0 - 1
COV
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1970 |
DER
2 - 0
WOL
66%
20%
15%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1970 |
WOL
0 - 1
LIV
40%
27%
32%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1970 |
ARS
2 - 2
WOL
66%
21%
14%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1970 |
CHL
2 - 1
DER
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1970 |
SOU
1 - 1
DER
50%
25%
24%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1970 |
DER
2 - 0
WOL
66%
20%
15%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1970 |
DER
4 - 1
LEE
30%
28%
42%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1970 |
SUN
1 - 1
DER
39%
28%
34%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |