Wolves vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
15.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1953 |
ARS
5 - 3
WOL
72%
15%
13%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1953 |
WOL
1 - 2
CHA
66%
18%
17%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1952 |
SUN
5 - 2
WOL
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1952 |
WOL
1 - 1
SUN
61%
19%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1952 |
CAR
0 - 0
WOL
33%
25%
42%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1953 |
DER
3 - 1
SUN
46%
22%
32%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1953 |
ASV
3 - 0
DER
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1953 |
MUD
1 - 0
DER
74%
15%
11%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1952 |
OPA
2 - 2
DER
62%
19%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1952 |
DER
3 - 0
OPA
48%
22%
30%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |