Wolves vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
18.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1951 |
MAC
0 - 0
WOL
38%
24%
37%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1951 |
SUN
0 - 0
WOL
48%
23%
29%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1951 |
WOL
0 - 1
NEW
61%
19%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1951 |
BOL
2 - 1
WOL
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1951 |
CHL
2 - 1
WOL
36%
24%
39%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1951 |
DER
3 - 4
SUN
62%
18%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1951 |
CHA
1 - 2
DER
47%
23%
31%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1951 |
DER
0 - 1
EVE
75%
14%
11%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1951 |
OPA
2 - 2
DER
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1951 |
SHW
4 - 3
DER
35%
25%
40%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |