Wolves vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
22.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1950 |
WOL
1 - 0
OPA
55%
21%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1950 |
BPO
1 - 0
WOL
48%
23%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1950 |
WOL
0 - 0
BPO
70%
17%
14%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1950 |
HUR
1 - 0
WOL
24%
23%
53%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1950 |
WOL
1 - 1
EVE
73%
16%
12%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1950 |
ARS
1 - 0
DER
60%
20%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1950 |
DER
4 - 2
NOR
88%
8%
4%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1950 |
DER
2 - 2
LIV
62%
19%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1950 |
SUN
6 - 1
DER
44%
24%
32%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1950 |
DER
1 - 1
BUR
75%
15%
10%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |