Wolves vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.7%
9.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1947 |
WOL
1 - 3
MID
80%
12%
9%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1947 |
BPO
2 - 2
WOL
44%
24%
32%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1947 |
GRI
0 - 4
WOL
41%
24%
35%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1947 |
WOL
5 - 1
BBU
86%
9%
5%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1947 |
WOL
8 - 1
GRI
80%
12%
8%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1947 |
DER
0 - 0
MAC
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1947 |
DER
1 - 0
EVE
54%
22%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1947 |
DER
1 - 1
BUR
74%
15%
11%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1947 |
CHL
1 - 0
DER
45%
23%
32%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1947 |
BUR
0 - 2
DER
28%
23%
49%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |