Wolves vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
28.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1933 |
MID
2 - 1
WOL
59%
19%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1933 |
BBU
1 - 0
WOL
69%
16%
15%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1933 |
WOL
2 - 0
MID
57%
19%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1933 |
WOL
1 - 0
BIR
58%
20%
22%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1933 |
SUN
0 - 1
WOL
67%
17%
16%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1933 |
DER
2 - 0
OPA
61%
19%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1933 |
DER
3 - 0
SHE
59%
19%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1933 |
OPA
2 - 0
DER
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1933 |
LEI
4 - 0
DER
51%
22%
28%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1933 |
DER
2 - 2
MID
65%
17%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |