Europa League 1/32
Global 4-1
Wolves vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1973 |
CHL
2 - 2
WOL
47%
25%
28%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1973 |
BEL
0 - 2
WOL
32%
26%
42%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1973 |
WOL
1 - 1
EVE
68%
19%
12%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1973 |
NEW
2 - 0
WOL
48%
25%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1973 |
WOL
0 - 2
LEE
39%
27%
35%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
SCP
4 - 1
BEL
79%
15%
7%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1973 |
BEL
0 - 2
WOL
32%
26%
42%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
BEL
1 - 2
SLB
21%
27%
52%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
VIT
1 - 1
BEL
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
BEL
1 - 0
FCP
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |