Wolves vs Aston Villa analysis

Wolves Aston Villa
80 ELO 86
4.6% Tilt 3.1%
53º General ELO ranking 32º
12º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
42.6%
Wolves
26.8%
Draw
30.6%
Aston Villa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
Wolves
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
30.6%
Win probability
Aston Villa
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Wolves
-7%
-4%
Aston Villa

ELO progression

Wolves
Aston Villa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Wolves
Wolves
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Nov. 1978
DER
Derby County
4 - 1
Wolves
WOL
64%
20%
16%
81 84 3 0
28 Oct. 1978
WOL
Wolves
2 - 4
Manchester United
MUD
36%
25%
39%
81 87 6 0
21 Oct. 1978
MID
Middlesbrough
2 - 0
Wolves
WOL
47%
27%
26%
82 83 1 -1
14 Oct. 1978
WOL
Wolves
1 - 0
Arsenal
ARS
36%
27%
37%
81 88 7 +1
07 Oct. 1978
NTT
Nottingham Forest
3 - 1
Wolves
WOL
73%
17%
11%
81 89 8 0

Matches

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Nov. 1978
ASV
Aston Villa
0 - 2
Luton Town
LUT
79%
15%
7%
87 73 14 0
04 Nov. 1978
ASV
Aston Villa
1 - 1
Manchester City
MAC
50%
25%
25%
87 89 2 0
27 Oct. 1978
ASV
Aston Villa
0 - 2
Middlesbrough
MID
65%
20%
14%
87 84 3 0
21 Oct. 1978
BIR
Birmingham City
0 - 1
Aston Villa
ASV
47%
25%
28%
87 82 5 0
16 Oct. 1978
ASV
Aston Villa
3 - 0
Crystal Palace
CRY
78%
15%
7%
87 76 11 0
X