Wolves vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
9.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1957 |
WOL
3 - 1
BPO
68%
16%
15%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1957 |
LUT
3 - 1
WOL
36%
24%
40%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1957 |
BOL
1 - 1
WOL
43%
23%
34%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1957 |
WOL
5 - 0
SUN
79%
12%
9%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1957 |
WOL
6 - 1
BOL
78%
13%
9%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1957 |
ASV
2 - 0
LUT
59%
21%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1957 |
SUN
1 - 1
ASV
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1957 |
LEE
4 - 0
ASV
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1957 |
ASV
0 - 1
EVE
62%
19%
19%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1957 |
ASV
2 - 0
LEE
61%
19%
20%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |