Wolves vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
10.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1956 |
WOL
2 - 1
NEW
69%
16%
15%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1956 |
CHA
0 - 2
WOL
49%
22%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1956 |
WOL
1 - 2
LUT
78%
13%
10%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1956 |
BIR
0 - 0
WOL
44%
22%
34%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1956 |
WOL
0 - 2
MUD
62%
18%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1956 |
ASV
2 - 0
EVE
61%
20%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1956 |
LUT
2 - 1
ASV
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1956 |
ASV
2 - 0
BUR
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1956 |
NEW
2 - 3
ASV
68%
17%
15%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1956 |
ASV
1 - 1
CHA
51%
22%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |