Wolves vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
16.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1951 |
ASV
3 - 3
WOL
52%
22%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1951 |
ARS
2 - 2
WOL
65%
18%
17%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1951 |
WOL
2 - 2
MAC
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1951 |
WOL
4 - 0
MID
68%
17%
15%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1951 |
FUL
2 - 2
WOL
37%
24%
40%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1951 |
ASV
3 - 3
WOL
52%
22%
27%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1951 |
DER
1 - 1
ASV
66%
17%
17%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1951 |
ASV
1 - 1
BOL
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1951 |
ASV
2 - 2
NEW
50%
22%
28%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1951 |
WBA
1 - 2
ASV
48%
23%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |