Wolves vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.2%
21.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1936 |
WOL
1 - 1
STO
67%
17%
16%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1936 |
ASV
4 - 2
WOL
69%
16%
15%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1936 |
LEE
2 - 0
WOL
54%
21%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1936 |
WOL
2 - 2
ARS
52%
20%
28%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1936 |
LIV
0 - 2
WOL
63%
18%
18%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1936 |
ASV
2 - 2
MAC
66%
17%
17%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1936 |
ASV
4 - 2
WOL
69%
16%
15%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1936 |
GRI
4 - 1
ASV
53%
21%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1936 |
WBA
0 - 3
ASV
61%
18%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1936 |
ASV
2 - 1
BIR
70%
16%
14%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |