Wolves vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
37.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
NTT
3 - 1
WOL
73%
17%
11%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
WOL
1 - 0
QPR
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
EVE
2 - 0
WOL
71%
18%
12%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
WOL
1 - 3
IPS
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
SOU
3 - 2
WOL
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
ARS
1 - 1
ASV
57%
24%
19%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
MID
2 - 3
ARS
32%
29%
39%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
LOK
1 - 4
ARS
50%
25%
25%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
ARS
1 - 1
MUD
50%
24%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
ARS
1 - 0
BOL
71%
18%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |