Wollongong Wolves vs Sydney United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
42.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
11º
6º
44
4º
14º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 72 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 65 |
2º
|
99% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 58 |
3º
|
68% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 55 |
4º
|
64.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 50 |
5º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 49 |
6º
|
40% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 47 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 46 |
8º
|
45% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
89.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
10º
|
47.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 29 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 29 |
13º
|
26.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 28 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 27 |
15º
|
48% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 24 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wollongong Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
WOL
1 - 2
MAR
25%
25%
50%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 1
WOL
32%
25%
42%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
NWS
1 - 0
WOL
23%
20%
57%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
WOL
5 - 1
CCM
74%
15%
11%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ROC
3 - 1
WOL
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sydney United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
SYD
1 - 0
CCM
81%
12%
7%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
STG
2 - 1
SYD
41%
24%
36%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 1
SYD
23%
24%
53%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SYD
3 - 2
WSW
48%
23%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
SYD
0 - 2
SYD
32%
21%
47%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +2 |