Wollongong Wolves vs Blacktown Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.9%
12%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
4.5%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wollongong Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
ROC
2 - 1
WOL
15%
22%
64%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SYD
2 - 1
WOL
13%
20%
68%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
WOL
3 - 2
HAS
23%
27%
51%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
API
6 - 5
WOL
72%
18%
10%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +29 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
WOL
2 - 4
BLA
44%
25%
32%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Blacktown Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
BLA
0 - 4
HAS
15%
21%
64%
|
30 | 65 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
BON
1 - 2
BLA
75%
14%
10%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BLA
2 - 3
PAE
64%
18%
18%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
API
4 - 4
BLA
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
BLA
0 - 4
BLA
28%
22%
49%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -2 |