A-League Playoffs 1/16
Global 5-2
Wollongong Wolves vs Adelaide City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
51.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wollongong Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1996 |
MAR
3 - 1
WOL
87%
9%
4%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
WOL
0 - 1
MAR
19%
22%
59%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1996 |
WOL
0 - 3
SYD
24%
24%
52%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1996 |
SYD
2 - 3
WOL
76%
16%
8%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1993 |
PAE
3 - 2
WOL
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Adelaide City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1998 |
GIF
1 - 0
ADE
32%
28%
41%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1998 |
ADE
3 - 1
WAD
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1998 |
MAR
2 - 0
ADE
54%
23%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
ADE
3 - 1
MEL
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1998 |
NCB
0 - 0
ADE
37%
26%
38%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |