Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Wolfsburg vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
64.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wolfsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
LEV
3 - 0
WOL
39%
25%
36%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
WOL
1 - 1
DAR
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
HOF
1 - 0
WOL
27%
24%
49%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
WOL
1 - 0
GEN
63%
21%
17%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
WOL
2 - 1
MON
41%
25%
35%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
FCB
1 - 2
RMA
75%
14%
11%
|
93 | 98 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
RMA
4 - 0
SEV
72%
16%
12%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
UDL
1 - 2
RMA
8%
16%
76%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
RMA
2 - 0
ROM
84%
11%
5%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
RMA
7 - 1
CEL
81%
12%
7%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |