UEFA Intertoto Cup Last 16
Global 3-1
Wolfsburg vs Marek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wolfsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 1
WOL
26%
26%
49%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
STU
2 - 0
WOL
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
WOL
2 - 0
HER
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
WOL
2 - 2
KAI
43%
24%
33%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
BVB
2 - 2
WOL
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Marek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 1
WOL
26%
26%
49%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
MAR
3 - 2
FHV
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
FHV
2 - 2
MAR
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
RIL
3 - 3
MAR
28%
26%
46%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 1
CVA
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |