Wolfsburg vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
33%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
5º
14º
9º
32
5º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 86 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 75 |
2º
|
94% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 60 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 60 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 58 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 55 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 51 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
32 | 47 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 45 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 39 |
12º
|
36.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 36 |
13º
|
30.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 33 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
34% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
34.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 22 |
18º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
1.5% | 1.5% |
|
Europa League
|
5% | 4% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
9% | 5.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
84.5% | 89% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wolfsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
WOL
3 - 0
HOF
45%
24%
31%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
RBL
1 - 5
WOL
70%
19%
11%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
WOL
1 - 0
FCU
44%
27%
30%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
HEI
1 - 3
WOL
40%
24%
36%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
WOL
1 - 1
AUG
50%
24%
26%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
M05
2 - 0
HOF
40%
25%
35%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
HOL
0 - 3
M05
25%
23%
52%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
M05
3 - 1
BVB
13%
19%
69%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
SCF
0 - 0
M05
52%
23%
25%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
M05
0 - 4
BYM
5%
10%
86%
|
88 | 99 | 11 | 0 |