Wolfsburg vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wolfsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1992 |
MEP
1 - 0
WOL
48%
26%
27%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1992 |
WOL
1 - 3
MSV
53%
23%
23%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1992 |
M05
2 - 1
WOL
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1992 |
WOL
2 - 1
WAL
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 1992 |
CZJ
1 - 2
WOL
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1992 |
HOM
1 - 5
SCF
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1992 |
SVS
1 - 1
HOM
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1992 |
HOM
3 - 4
VFB
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1992 |
BAY
2 - 2
HOM
22%
26%
52%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1992 |
OSN
2 - 1
HOM
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |