Europa League Last 16
Global 1-5
Wolfsburg vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
42.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wolfsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
WOL
0 - 0
RBL
24%
23%
53%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
FCU
2 - 2
WOL
30%
25%
46%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
MFF
0 - 3
WOL
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
WOL
4 - 0
M05
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
WOL
2 - 1
MFF
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
KOL
3 - 4
SHA
9%
19%
73%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
SHA
4 - 1
SKD
79%
14%
7%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
VOR
1 - 0
SHA
13%
20%
67%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
SLB
3 - 3
SHA
58%
21%
21%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
SHA
1 - 0
DES
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |