Wolfsburg vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
67.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wolfsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
STP
0 - 0
WOL
28%
25%
47%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
WOL
2 - 4
BRE
43%
25%
33%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
RTV
1 - 3
WOL
28%
24%
48%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
WOL
2 - 2
STU
20%
22%
58%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LEV
4 - 3
WOL
77%
16%
8%
|
88 | 97 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
AUG
2 - 1
BVB
10%
16%
74%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
RMA
5 - 2
BVB
64%
20%
17%
|
97 | 100 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
BVB
2 - 1
STP
80%
13%
7%
|
97 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FCU
2 - 1
BVB
13%
19%
68%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
BVB
7 - 1
CEL
83%
11%
6%
|
96 | 82 | 14 | +1 |