Wolfsburg vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
3.8%
10%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10%
84.9%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
6.1%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
18.8%
0-4
8.8%
1-5
3.9%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
13.5%
0-5
5.6%
1-6
2.1%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
8%
0-6
2.9%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
4%
0-7
1.3%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0%
-7
1.7%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
5º
14º
9º
54
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
54 | 86 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 75 |
2º
|
94% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 60 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 60 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 58 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 55 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 51 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 47 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 45 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 39 |
12º
|
36.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 36 |
13º
|
30.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 33 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
34% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
34.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 22 |
18º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 97% |
|
Champions League
|
1.5% | 3% |
|
Europa League
|
5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
9% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
84.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wolfsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
TUS
0 - 1
WOL
4%
12%
84%
|
88 | 39 | 49 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
BRE
4 - 4
WOL
50%
24%
26%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
COM
0 - 0
WOL
26%
24%
50%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HAN
3 - 2
WOL
27%
24%
49%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
WOL
1 - 0
LIL
37%
27%
36%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
BYM
4 - 0
GCZ
86%
10%
4%
|
98 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ULM
0 - 4
BYM
4%
9%
88%
|
98 | 75 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
BYM
3 - 0
WAT
85%
11%
4%
|
98 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TOT
2 - 3
BYM
15%
17%
69%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
TOT
1 - 2
BYM
10%
13%
78%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | 0 |