Wolfsburg vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
3.8%
10%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10%
84.9%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
6.1%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
18.8%
0-4
8.8%
1-5
3.9%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
13.5%
0-5
5.6%
1-6
2.1%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
8%
0-6
2.9%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
4%
0-7
1.3%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0%
-7
1.7%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
6º
15º
11º
9
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
9 | 85 |
1º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 74 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 73 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 72 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 58 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 52 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 51 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 43 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 43 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 40 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
3 | 40 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 39 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 38 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 36 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 31 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 28 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 27 |
17º
|
16.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 25 |
18º
|
27.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 77.5% |
|
Champions League
|
0.5% | 22% |
|
Europa League
|
1% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wolfsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
TUS
0 - 1
WOL
4%
12%
84%
|
88 | 37 | 51 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
BRE
4 - 4
WOL
50%
24%
26%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
COM
0 - 0
WOL
26%
24%
50%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HAN
3 - 2
WOL
27%
24%
49%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
WOL
1 - 0
LIL
37%
27%
36%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
BYM
4 - 0
GCZ
86%
10%
4%
|
99 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ULM
0 - 4
BYM
4%
9%
88%
|
99 | 74 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
BYM
3 - 0
WAT
85%
11%
4%
|
99 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TOT
2 - 3
BYM
15%
17%
69%
|
99 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
TOT
1 - 2
BYM
10%
13%
78%
|
99 | 93 | 6 | 0 |