Wolfsburg II vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3%
2-1
3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
74.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wolfsburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2003 |
WOL
2 - 0
COT
13%
20%
67%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
WOL
1 - 3
KOL
8%
17%
75%
|
49 | 78 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2001 |
WOL
0 - 4
HAN
12%
18%
70%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
WOL
1 - 0
BVB
3%
15%
82%
|
49 | 87 | 38 | +1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
EIN
2 - 0
KOL
43%
25%
33%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
KOL
1 - 0
SCF
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
STU
0 - 0
KOL
62%
22%
17%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
KOL
1 - 4
BRE
35%
25%
40%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
KOL
2 - 3
WOL
37%
26%
38%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |