Wohlen vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
52.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wohlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 0
WOH
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
WOH
3 - 3
WIL
26%
25%
50%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 3
WOH
43%
27%
31%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
FCG
0 - 4
WOH
20%
22%
58%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
WOH
0 - 0
LOC
49%
25%
27%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
SER
0 - 0
THU
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
THU
3 - 2
BAS
22%
23%
56%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
LAU
3 - 0
THU
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
LUG
0 - 2
THU
32%
25%
42%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
THU
1 - 4
ZUR
32%
25%
43%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |