Bidvest Wits vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
18.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bidvest Wits
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
SUN
1 - 1
BID
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
SWA
0 - 1
BID
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BID
1 - 1
CHI
42%
28%
31%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 1
BID
32%
28%
39%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
BID
0 - 0
MAR
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
FRE
0 - 1
SWA
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
FRE
4 - 1
EAG
75%
16%
9%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
COS
2 - 2
FRE
28%
30%
42%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 1
AMA
54%
25%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
SSU
1 - 1
FRE
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |