Wismut Gera vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
40.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wismut Gera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
FMS
0 - 1
WIS
33%
22%
45%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
WIS
0 - 2
ANK
82%
11%
7%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
WIS
1 - 2
ZWI
88%
8%
4%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
BAB
2 - 1
WIS
45%
22%
34%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
WIS
2 - 2
HAL
53%
21%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
ERF
3 - 0
BFM
52%
21%
27%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
BFM
0 - 3
ERF
69%
16%
14%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
ERF
4 - 0
SVD
46%
22%
33%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
FMS
2 - 6
ERF
30%
22%
48%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
ABS
1 - 1
ERF
76%
14%
10%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |