Wismut Gera vs Lichtenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
7.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wismut Gera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
WIS
4 - 1
BEP
70%
16%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
WIS
4 - 1
LAS
49%
22%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
CHL
3 - 2
WIS
73%
15%
12%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
WIS
1 - 1
FCU
64%
18%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
ERF
4 - 2
WIS
75%
14%
11%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
LIC
2 - 5
ERF
10%
16%
74%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
SED
3 - 0
LIC
86%
9%
5%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
LIC
2 - 4
ZWI
26%
22%
52%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
BSA
2 - 0
LIC
79%
13%
9%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
LIC
4 - 6
ABS
7%
13%
79%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | -1 |