Wismut Gera vs Bischofswerdaer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
70.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
2º
12º
11º
26
3º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
33 | 63 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 57 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
1º
|
35 | 56 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 56 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 56 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 55 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 48 |
7º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 38 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 36 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 35 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 33 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 31 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 31 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 30 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 15 |
16º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 10.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
83% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation
|
17% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wismut Gera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
VFB
5 - 1
WIS
73%
15%
12%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SVB
3 - 1
WIS
27%
20%
53%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WIS
2 - 2
SVG
48%
22%
30%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 3
WIS
59%
21%
21%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
WIS
2 - 0
RSV
38%
22%
40%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bischofswerdaer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SVG
2 - 0
BIS
11%
19%
70%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BIS
1 - 0
UNI
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
RSV
1 - 2
BIS
11%
18%
71%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
BIS
0 - 0
AUE
59%
21%
20%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BIS
1 - 1
BAK
69%
18%
13%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |