Wismut Gera vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
22.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wismut Gera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
SCW
2 - 1
WIS
39%
22%
39%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
BSS
6 - 0
WIS
68%
17%
15%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
BFM
2 - 1
WIS
67%
17%
16%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1951 |
WIS
1 - 1
SVD
33%
21%
46%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1951 |
BAB
5 - 0
WIS
64%
17%
19%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1951 |
FCU
3 - 1
LAS
47%
22%
31%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1951 |
FCU
7 - 0
BEP
70%
16%
14%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
ABS
3 - 1
FCU
79%
12%
9%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
BSA
1 - 0
FCU
62%
19%
19%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
FCU
0 - 2
ERF
28%
22%
50%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |