Wisla Pulawy vs Zagłębie Lubin II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
2º
13º
13º
15
15º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 79 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 72 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 71 |
3º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 59 |
4º
|
51.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 51 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 51 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 48 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 48 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 46 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 41 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 38 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 33 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 33 |
16º
|
29% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 32 |
17º
|
25% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 23 |
18º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
47.5% | 13% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
31% | 19.5% |
|
Relegation
|
19% | 67.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wisla Pulawy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
HUT
1 - 0
WIS
48%
24%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
CHO
3 - 2
WIS
48%
23%
29%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
WIS
1 - 2
KAL
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
LKS
0 - 0
WIS
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
WIS
0 - 3
POG
37%
26%
38%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Zagłębie Lubin II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ZAG
0 - 0
ZAG
45%
26%
30%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
HUT
4 - 1
ZAG
51%
22%
26%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
CHO
2 - 1
ZAG
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ZAG
0 - 1
WIE
51%
24%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
ZAG
4 - 0
BYO
79%
13%
8%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |