Champions League Last 16
Global 3-3
Wisla Kraków vs Zbrojovka Brno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
20.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wisla Kraków
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1978 |
ZBR
2 - 2
WIS
60%
20%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
TSP
1 - 0
WIS
36%
30%
34%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
WIS
1 - 4
LKS
60%
24%
16%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
WIS
3 - 1
GWA
63%
24%
13%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
WIS
3 - 1
BRU
27%
26%
48%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Zbrojovka Brno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1978 |
ZBR
2 - 2
WIS
60%
20%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
UJP
0 - 2
ZBR
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
ZBR
2 - 2
UJP
43%
24%
33%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1966 |
DZG
2 - 0
ZBR
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1966 |
ZBR
2 - 0
DZG
49%
23%
28%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |