Europa League 1/64
Global 4-2
Wisla Kraków vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
13.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wisla Kraków
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2003 |
WAR
4 - 1
WIS
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
WIS
3 - 1
PLO
71%
17%
11%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
AMI
2 - 0
WIS
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2003 |
WIS
0 - 1
AND
36%
25%
39%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
WIS
2 - 0
GÓR
62%
21%
18%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2003 |
VOL
2 - 3
NEC
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
NEC
2 - 1
TWE
46%
26%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
UTR
0 - 1
NEC
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
NEC
1 - 3
RJC
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
FEY
2 - 1
NEC
75%
16%
9%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |