Wisconsin vs Rutgers analysis


12	ELO	24
0.5%	Tilt	-0.4%
44788º	General ELO ranking	45172º
658º	Country ELO ranking	767º
ELO win probability

9.9%

Wisconsin

15.4%

Draw

74.7%

Rutgers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

9.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7%

15.4%

Draw

0-0

3.4%

1-1

7.2%

2-2

3.8%

3-3

0.9%

4-4

0.1%

5-5

<0%

0

15.4%

74.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%