Wisconsin vs Michigan Wolverines analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.9%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
74.9%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wisconsin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
MSS
4 - 1
WIS
77%
14%
9%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
PSN
1 - 0
WIS
89%
8%
3%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
WIS
1 - 0
OSE
10%
15%
75%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
NOR
1 - 1
WIS
84%
11%
6%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
WIS
0 - 4
IDH
6%
13%
81%
|
10 | 34 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Michigan Wolverines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
MGW
2 - 0
OSE
60%
20%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
MGW
0 - 1
IDH
21%
20%
59%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
MSS
1 - 2
MGW
25%
21%
54%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
OSE
2 - 2
MGW
42%
22%
36%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
MGW
1 - 2
MLT
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |