Wirges vs Auersmacher analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
42.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-75%
-74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wirges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
PIR
1 - 0
WIR
65%
20%
15%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
WIR
0 - 3
HBI
71%
18%
11%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
EIS
1 - 3
WIR
64%
20%
16%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
WIR
1 - 2
HAU
45%
25%
30%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
IDA
1 - 1
WIR
59%
22%
20%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Auersmacher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
ROB
1 - 2
AUE
40%
24%
36%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
AUE
1 - 2
KOL
63%
20%
17%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
BET
1 - 2
AUE
41%
24%
35%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
HOM
2 - 1
AUE
58%
22%
21%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
AUE
2 - 0
PIR
39%
24%
37%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +2 |