Wirges vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
63.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
17.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 1991 |
DAR
0 - 3
HOM
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1991 |
HOM
3 - 2
KÖL
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 1991 |
M05
0 - 2
HOM
54%
24%
21%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1991 |
HOM
1 - 0
SCF
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1991 |
HAN
0 - 2
HOM
61%
23%
17%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |