Wirges vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
64.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wirges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
IDA
1 - 0
WIR
36%
24%
41%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
WIR
4 - 0
KOL
85%
11%
5%
|
45 | 19 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
WIR
5 - 3
BNE
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2003 |
TUS
0 - 2
WIR
31%
25%
44%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
WIR
1 - 1
HAU
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2003 |
BVB
2 - 1
BRU
46%
25%
30%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
KOL
1 - 0
BVB
29%
26%
45%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
BVB
3 - 1
MUN
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2003 |
BRU
2 - 1
BVB
53%
24%
24%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
BVB
4 - 0
WOL
55%
24%
22%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |