Winthrop vs USC Upstate analysis


10	ELO	31
2.2%	Tilt	0%
47096º	General ELO ranking	47102º
771º	Country ELO ranking	777º
ELO win probability

7.2%

Winthrop

13.4%

Draw

79.4%

USC Upstate

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

7.2%

Win probability

0.69

Expected goals

4-0

<0%

5-1

<0%

+4

<0%

3-0

0.2%

4-1

0.1%

5-2

<0%

+3

0.3%

2-0

0.8%

3-1

0.5%

4-2

0.1%

5-3

<0%

+2

1.5%

1-0

2.4%

2-1

2.2%

3-2

0.7%

4-3

0.1%

+1

5.4%

13.4%

Draw

0-0

3.4%

1-1

6.4%

2-2

2.9%

3-3

0.6%

4-4

0.1%

0

13.4%

79.4%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
11%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7.4%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.6%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%