Winterthur vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
53%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1977 |
NEX
2 - 0
WIN
75%
17%
9%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1977 |
WIN
0 - 0
YOB
30%
28%
42%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
BEL
4 - 1
WIN
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1976 |
WIN
2 - 3
BAS
35%
28%
37%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
SIO
2 - 0
WIN
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
ZUR
5 - 1
YOB
63%
19%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1977 |
ZUR
2 - 1
SGD
30%
24%
46%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1977 |
BAS
1 - 3
ZUR
50%
22%
28%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
ZUR
1 - 1
LAU
74%
15%
11%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1976 |
CSC
1 - 0
ZUR
22%
27%
51%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | -1 |