Winterthur vs Yverdon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
6º
12º
10º
5
8º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
10 | 41 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 38 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 37 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 36 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 35 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 33 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 29 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 28 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 23 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
4 | 23 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 22 |
11º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
5 | 21 |
12º
|
27% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
7% | 6% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
93% | 94% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ZUR
4 - 2
WIN
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
WIN
1 - 0
STG
28%
24%
49%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
WIN
1 - 0
SCA
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
WIN
5 - 0
YFJ
85%
11%
4%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
KUF
0 - 4
WIN
6%
13%
81%
|
76 | 41 | 35 | +1 |
Matches
Yverdon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
SER
3 - 2
YVE
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
YVE
0 - 2
ZUR
26%
25%
49%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SIO
4 - 1
YVE
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
GRA
2 - 2
YVE
5%
10%
86%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
THU
0 - 1
YVE
46%
23%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |