Winterthur vs Yverdon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
4º
12º
5º
40
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
ZUR
0 - 2
WIN
64%
19%
17%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
LAU
1 - 1
WIN
37%
26%
38%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
STG
2 - 2
WIN
64%
20%
17%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
WIN
2 - 1
FCL
30%
24%
45%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
GCZ
0 - 1
WIN
51%
23%
26%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Yverdon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
YVE
0 - 2
BAS
18%
22%
60%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
LAU
3 - 1
YVE
40%
26%
35%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
YVE
2 - 1
SER
21%
23%
56%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
YVE
4 - 2
BAV
82%
13%
5%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
YVE
3 - 0
ZUR
20%
23%
57%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +2 |