Winterthur vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
37.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
BAD
0 - 1
WIN
21%
21%
58%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
WIN
1 - 2
LUG
27%
25%
49%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ETO
0 - 2
WIN
29%
24%
48%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2011 |
WIN
1 - 2
WOH
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
KRI
0 - 2
WIN
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FCR
1 - 4
WIL
13%
19%
68%
|
61 | 18 | 43 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
WIL
2 - 0
ETO
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
WOH
2 - 2
WIL
46%
26%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
WIL
2 - 2
STG
27%
25%
48%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
BEL
0 - 1
WIL
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |