Winterthur vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
48.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
6º
12º
10º
10
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
5º
|
10 | 40 |
1º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 38 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 37 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 36 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 35 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 33 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 29 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 28 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 23 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
4 | 23 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 21 |
11º
|
27.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 20 |
12º
|
27% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
10.5% | 92% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
89.5% | 8% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
WIN
1 - 0
SCA
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
WIN
5 - 0
YFJ
85%
11%
4%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
KUF
0 - 4
WIN
6%
13%
81%
|
76 | 41 | 35 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
WIN
1 - 0
EBT
53%
22%
25%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
WIN
3 - 2
RAP
66%
18%
16%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FCV
0 - 1
STG
17%
20%
63%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
RAP
3 - 1
STG
13%
18%
69%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
STG
2 - 1
CSU
64%
19%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
STG
0 - 2
LUD
67%
19%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
KRE
0 - 9
STG
5%
12%
83%
|
83 | 42 | 41 | 0 |