Winterthur vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
42.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
WIN
1 - 2
YOB
35%
25%
41%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
STA
0 - 1
WIN
28%
24%
47%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
WIN
2 - 2
LUG
30%
23%
47%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
ZUR
0 - 0
WIN
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
WIN
1 - 0
SER
33%
24%
43%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SER
1 - 0
GCZ
60%
22%
17%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
BAS
2 - 1
SER
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SER
0 - 1
ZUR
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
SER
1 - 2
STA
68%
20%
12%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
WIN
1 - 0
SER
33%
24%
43%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |